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WTPZ22 KNHC 210839
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122014
0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 121.9W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 390SE 280SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 121.9W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 121.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.3N 122.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.3N 123.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.3N 124.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.4N 126.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.3N 129.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.0N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 28.3N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 121.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



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