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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200838
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122014
0900 UTC WED AUG 20 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 121.0W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 121.0W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.1N 121.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.8N 121.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 123.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.0N 126.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 26.0N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.0N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 121.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



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