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WTPZ22 KNHC 210242
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122014
0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 121.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
EYE DIAMETER 90 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 390SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 121.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 121.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.0N 122.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.2N 125.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 28.0N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 121.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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