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WTPZ21 KNHC 230247
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
0300 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 135.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.8N 134.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.6N 132.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N 131.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.7N 129.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.0N 128.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.7N 130.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.0N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 134.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN



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