Home


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 230845
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
0900 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 134.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 134.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.4N 133.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.0N 132.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 129.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.6N 129.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 22.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 134.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BROWN



Home