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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 63
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 68.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 68.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 68.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.6N 67.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.5N 67.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 160SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 150SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.4N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 130SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 39.1N 69.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 39.0N 70.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 68.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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