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WTNT21 KNHC 051455
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
1500 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON WARNINGS IN CANADA PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE AT...
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.0N 65.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 180SE 140SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 480SE 360SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.0N 65.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.5N 66.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 47.0N 63.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 210SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 49.0N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 52.0N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 300SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 56.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 300SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 60.5N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 60.5N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.0N 65.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ARTHUR. FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON WARNINGS IN CANADA
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE AT...
WEATHER.GC.CA/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML ...IN ALL LOWER CASE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. STATEMENTS ON THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARE ALSO
BEING ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE UNDER WMO HEADER
WOCN31 CWHX AND IN FRENCH AT WOCN41 CWHX.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH



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