WTPZ42 KNHC 140231

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jova Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122017
800 PM PDT Sun Aug 13 2017

Jova lacks sufficient deep convection to be classified as a tropical cyclone, so the system is being designated as a remnant low. Although the low may produce sporadic bursts of deep convection over the next day or two, the dry and stable environment should prevent the system from coming back. Based on the ECMWF model prediction, the remnant low should dissipate after 72 hours, if not sooner.

The low is moving westward or 270/12 kt. A mainly easterly low-level environmental flow should move the system on a westward to west-southwestward track until dissipation. The official track forecast is similar to the previous one.

This is the last advisory on Jova. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.


INIT 14/0300Z 20.5N 119.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 14/1200Z 20.2N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/0000Z 19.9N 123.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 15/1200Z 19.5N 126.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/0000Z 19.0N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 17/0000Z 18.0N 132.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$ Forecaster Pasch