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WTPZ42 KNHC 232034
TCDEP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 23 2016

Kay has been devoid of deep convection for about 12 hours. Since the system is over waters of around 24 deg C and forecast to soon move over even cooler waters, deep convection is not expected to return. On this basis, Kay is being declared a post-tropical cyclone on this advisory. Dissipation is forecast by the global models just after 24 hours.

The post-tropical cyclone is moving a little faster toward the northwest or 310/11. A turn toward the west-northwest or west is likely before the low dissipates tomorrow.

This is the last advisory from the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/2100Z 23.5N 121.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 24/0600Z 23.6N 122.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 24/1800Z 23.7N 124.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$ Forecaster Kimberlain



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