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000
WTPZ42 KNHC 301436
TCDEP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND DISCUSSION NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013
800 AM PDT WED OCT 30 2013

A 1235 UTC SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION OF RAYMOND IS ELONGATED...AND THE CENTER IS POORLY DEFINED. IN ADDITION...THERE HAS BEEN NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER FOR ABOUT 15 HOURS. THEREFORE...RAYMOND IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A REMNANT LOW...AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY. THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT...BUT WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS THE CIRCULATION SPINS DOWN. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 48 HOURS.

EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED...MICROWAVE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT IT IS LOCATED A LITTLE FARTHER NORTHEAST THAN PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. RAYMOND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...OR 055/5 KT...BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DRIFTING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOR THE REMNANT LOW IS A LITTLE FARTHER EAST THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DUE TO THE RE-LOCATION OF THE CENTER.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 19.7N 114.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 31/0000Z 20.1N 114.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 31/1200Z 20.4N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 01/0000Z 20.6N 114.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$ FORECASTER BERG



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