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000
WTNT42 KNHC 061432
TCDAT2

REMNANTS OF KAREN DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013
1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 06 2013

EARLY MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF KAREN HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND IS NO LONGER WELL DEFINED. AS A RESULT...KAREN IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE REMNANTS OF KAREN HAVE BEEN MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD THIS MORNING AT AROUND 11 KT...AND SHOULD CONTINUE ON A GENERAL EASTWARD TRACK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT UNTIL THEY ARE OVERTAKEN BY THE FRONT IN A DAY OR SO.

THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED WELL TO THE EAST OF THE REMNANT CENTER...AND REGENERATON IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO EVEN HIGHER VALUES OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ADVECTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF KAREN CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST CAN FIND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IN PRODUCTS FROM THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/1500Z 28.1N 89.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$ FORECASTER BRENNAN



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