Home


000
FOPZ15 KNHC 080246
PWSEP5

HURRICANE JULIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 08 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

15N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

20N 145W 34 1 44(45) 27(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
20N 145W 50 X 4( 4) 19(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
20N 145W 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 2(19) X(19)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)

SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)

KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15)

KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 9(26) 1(27)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)

LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) 1(23)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 13(24) 1(25)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 1(24)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
HONOLULU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)

LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 5(26)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
LIHUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)

NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

Home