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FOPZ15 KNHC 201433
PWSEP5

TROPICAL STORM DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016
1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

20N 145W 34 1 37(38) 25(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
20N 145W 50 X 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

20N 150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 19(40) 1(41) X(41)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 26(36) 3(39) X(39)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)

BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 7(27) X(27)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 15(28) 3(31)
20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 4(24)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 4(19)
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10)

SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 2(15)

21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15)

21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)

LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)

JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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