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FOPZ14 KNHC 032032
PWSEP4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HOWARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092016
2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HOWARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)

BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)

SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)

KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)

KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)

21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)

LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)

JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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