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FOPZ14 KNHC 051452
PWSEP4

HURRICANE ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

15N 145W 34 1 11(12) 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)

20N 145W 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 47(49) 1(50) X(50)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15)
HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 38(39) 3(42) X(42)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 4(44) X(44)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)

KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 6(35) X(35)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 10(37) X(37)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 10(33) X(33)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15(30) 1(31)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8)
HONOLULU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) X(22)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 1(21)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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