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FOPZ13 KNHC 272035
PWSEP3

HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132016
2100 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

20N 120W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

15N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

20N 125W 34 1 16(17) 25(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
20N 125W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
20N 125W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

15N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)

20N 130W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 45(50) 12(62) X(62) X(62)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12)

20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 10(60) X(60)
20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 6(26) X(26)
20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11)

15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13)

20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 36(38) 11(49)
20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18)
20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)

25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)

20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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