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FOPZ13 KNHC 250832
PWSEP3

TROPICAL STORM LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132016
0900 UTC THU AUG 25 2016

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

ISLA CLARION 34 1 39(40) 20(60) 2(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
ISLA CLARION 50 X 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ISLA CLARION 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

15N 115W 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)

20N 115W 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20)

15N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 18(22) 4(26) X(26)
15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

20N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 25(33) 3(36) X(36)
20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 5(25)
15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8)
15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)

20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 29(34) 5(39)
20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13)
20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)

15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17)
15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)

20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 19(26)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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