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000
FOPZ12 KNHC 220832
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

15N 125W 34 63 13(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
15N 125W 50 7 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
15N 125W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 51(53) 14(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
15N 130W 50 X X( X) 13(13) 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
15N 130W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

20N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 6(36) 1(37)
15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)

20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)

15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)

20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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