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TROPICAL STORM JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 61
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

YARMOUTH NS 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13) 1(14) 1(15)

EASTPORT ME 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 1(12) 1(13)

AUGUSTA ME 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13) 2(15)

PORTLAND ME 34 5 5(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) 2(18) 2(20)

CONCORD NH 34 6 4(10) 3(13) 2(15) 3(18) 1(19) 2(21)

PORTSMOUTH NH 34 8 6(14) 3(17) 2(19) 3(22) 2(24) 1(25)

WORCESTER MA 34 10 6(16) 4(20) 2(22) 4(26) 2(28) 2(30)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34 7 5(12) 3(15) 3(18) 4(22) 2(24) 2(26)

BOSTON MA 34 13 8(21) 4(25) 3(28) 4(32) 2(34) 1(35)

HYANNIS MA 34 41 8(49) 4(53) 3(56) 4(60) 1(61) 2(63)
HYANNIS MA 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA 34 60 7(67) 4(71) 2(73) 3(76) 1(77) 1(78)
NANTUCKET MA 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 22 8(30) 5(35) 3(38) 5(43) 3(46) 1(47)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

BRIDGEPORT CT 34 9 5(14) 3(17) 2(19) 5(24) 3(27) 3(30)

NEW HAVEN CT 34 10 5(15) 3(18) 3(21) 5(26) 3(29) 2(31)

HARTFORD CT 34 9 5(14) 4(18) 2(20) 5(25) 3(28) 2(30)

NEW LONDON CT 34 18 7(25) 4(29) 3(32) 6(38) 3(41) 2(43)

ALBANY NY 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 2(12) 2(14)

POUGHKEEPSIE 34 5 3( 8) 2(10) 2(12) 3(15) 2(17) 2(19)

MONTAUK POINT 34 26 7(33) 4(37) 4(41) 5(46) 4(50) 2(52)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)

ISLIP NY 34 11 5(16) 3(19) 2(21) 6(27) 3(30) 3(33)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 7 4(11) 3(14) 2(16) 6(22) 2(24) 4(28)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 6 3( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 5(19) 3(22) 3(25)

NEWARK NJ 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 5(18) 2(20) 3(23)

TRENTON NJ 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 4(13) 2(15) 4(19)

NWS EARLE NJ 34 6 3( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 6(19) 2(21) 3(24)

ALLENTOWN PA 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 3(12)

PHILADELPHIA 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 3(16)

ATLANTIC CITY 34 6 2( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 4(15) 3(18) 3(21)

BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6)

DOVER DE 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 4(14)

ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6)

WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)

CAPE HENLOPEN 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 3(13) 3(16)

OCEAN CITY MD 34 4 X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 3(14)

PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6)

WALLOPS CDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 2(10)

NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN

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