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TROPICAL STORM JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 63
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

YARMOUTH NS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

AUGUSTA ME 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

PORTLAND ME 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

CONCORD NH 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)

PORTSMOUTH NH 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)

WORCESTER MA 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)

BOSTON MA 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13)

HYANNIS MA 34 7 6(13) 5(18) 2(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24)

NANTUCKET MA 34 12 8(20) 6(26) 3(29) 3(32) 2(34) X(34)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17)

BRIDGEPORT CT 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11)

NEW HAVEN CT 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11)

HARTFORD CT 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11)

NEW LONDON CT 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 2(15) X(15)

ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)

MONTAUK POINT 34 3 5( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 4(17) 2(19) X(19)

ISLIP NY 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)

NEWARK NJ 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)

TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)

NWS EARLE NJ 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)

PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)

ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN

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