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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017
1500 UTC SUN OCT 08 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

BALTIMORE MD 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

BIRMINGHAM AL 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

MONTGOMERY AL 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

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