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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
1500 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 45.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

ILE ST PIERRE 34 1 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

BURGEO NFLD 34 3 16(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)

PTX BASQUES 34 8 32(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
PTX BASQUES 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

EDDY POINT NS 34 35 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)

SYDNEY NS 34 21 8(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)

SABLE ISLAND 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

HALIFAX NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

YARMOUTH NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
YARMOUTH NS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

MONCTON NB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MONCTON NB 50 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)

ST JOHN NB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST JOHN NB 50 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)

EASTPORT ME 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
EASTPORT ME 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

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