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AGXX40 KNHC 301652
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1252 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

PRODUCT RELEASED EARLY FOR COMPUTER MAINTENANCE


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE GULF WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL..EXCEPT OVER THE NE WATERS WHERE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...2-4 FT RANGE OVER THE NW WATERS...AND 1-3 FT OVER THE NE WATERS. MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LOCAL EVENING TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NW YUCATAN EACH NIGHT. THE TROUGHING WILL ENHANCE OVERNIGHT WINDS OFF NW YUCATAN AND IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-5 FT OVER THE N CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-7 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...INCREASING SOMEWHAT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH MID WEEK WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES PREVAILING AFTERWARDS. NE SWELL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE...REACHING 5 TO 6 FT BY TUE.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS WITH A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SE WATERS ROUGHLY FROM 23N65W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS E OF THE FRONT...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WITHIN 90 NM W OF THE FRONT...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE OVER THE FORECAST AREA..EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N76W WHERE CALM TO LIGHT WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE E OF THE FRONT...6-8 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN WATERS...4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ALONG 28N THROUGH THE PERIOD. A COUPLE OF FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. WINDS MAY FRESHEN IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT N OF 30N...BUT OTHERWISE WILL HAVE LITTLE AFFECT ON WINDS AND SEAS.

$$


.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:


.GULF OF MEXICO... NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$


.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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