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AGXX40 KNHC 061954
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1219 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NAPLES FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. STRONG TO GALE FORCE N WINDS ARE S OF 21N W OF 94W...WITH STRONG WINDS COVER MUCH OF THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL STALL LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE SAT...AND THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE. A TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE SW GULF BEFORE DISSIPATING SUN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE N GULF LATE SUN NIGHT INTO EARLY MON. THE FRONT WILL EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS MON AND FROM NEAR CEDAR KEY FLORIDA TO TAMPICO MEXICO TUE.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE WARNING FORCE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH TUE NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-15 FT RANGE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...9-13 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...7-9 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...AND 5-7 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL N OF THE AREA MAINTAINING THE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS THROUGH SAT. THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SUN AND MON WHICH WILL DECREASE COVERAGE OF THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC DURING THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD N OF THE AREA ONCE AGAIN MON NIGHT AND TUE WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN TRADES OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N75W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA AND E OF THE AREA BY SUN. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ALSO PREVAIL W OF THE FRONT WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS...4-5 FT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. A LOW PRES SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OFF THE SE GEORGIA COAST MON WITH A COLD FRONT FROM 31N79W TO CAPE CANAVERAL MON NIGHT WHERE THE FRONT WILL STALL AND WEAKEN THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

$$


.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:


.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 21N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASI...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO SUN. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO TUE.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$


.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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