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AGXX40 KNHC 280547
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
147 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NE GULF THROUGH WED. A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND MOVE NW DURING LATE NIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. A RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM W CUBA NW TO THE NE TEXAS THROUGH THU THEN SHIFT S ON FRI AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE N CENTRAL GULF WATERS.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ATLC RIDGE N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NW COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...INCREASING TO NEAR GALE WARNING WITHIN 150 NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST EACH NIGHT...EXCEPT MINIMAL GALE WARNING CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL WAVE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE W ACROSS THE THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN AND PASS W OF THE AREA LATER TODAY. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WILL ENTER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE...THE W CARIBBEAN WED...AND PASS W OF THE AREA THU. A THIRD TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS W OF 55W LATE TUE...ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN ON LATE WED...INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU...THE W CARIBBEAN LATE FRI.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDING EXTENDING E TO W ALONG 26N WILL SHIFT A LITTLE S TONIGHT AND WED. A TROUGH ACROSS THE FAR NW WATERS WILL MOVE A LITTLE E ON WED...BUT STALL AGAIN WED NIGHT...THEN DRIFT NW ON THU AND FRI AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS N AND STRENGTHENS. FRESH TRADES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE ATLC APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE EACH EVENING.

$$


.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:


.GULF OF MEXICO... NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$


.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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