Home


000
AGXX40 KNHC 181846
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
246 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas


...GULF OF MEXICO...

Dissipating front is meandering from near Cape Coral to 25N91W to the central Bay of Campeche and has drifted S across the S Fl Peninsula and SE waters today. Strong NW winds assumed to be occurring off of Veracruz will diminish this afternoon and fall to below 20 kt tonight with seas gradually subsiding there. Sufficient pres gradient will continue across the NE waters today for strong NE winds and seas 5-8 ft there. Strong high pres moving toward the eastern seaboard will maintain the pres gradient across the NE and N central waters through Fri to maintain fresh to locally strong E winds there. Next cold front expected to sink across NW Gulf on Sun.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

Broad low pres continues across SW Carib while strong ridge persists across E central Atlc. A pair of tropical waves moving across the E Carib today will maintain fresh E to SE winds E of 70W and very active weather, spreading across the NE Carib and islands next 36-48 hrs. The strong ridge across the Atlc is producing strong trades across the tropical N Atlc waters where seas are 8-10 ft and will build W with and behind the 2 waves during the next few days to freshen winds and build seas into the 8-11 ft range through Fri both inside the Carib E of 80W and across tropical N Atlc waters. This general pattern to persist into next week.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A broad surface trough continues between 66W and 72W to the SE of a stalled front from 31N70W to SE FL. Front has drifted SE across the FL coastal waters this morning and allowed for more wind and seas than anticipated yesterday. Ft Pierce buoy fluctuating 7-8 ft past several hours and some of this wind swell reaching into Miami area past few hours. Strong NE winds continue N of the stalled boundary where seas are 8-12 ft. The front is expected to move slowly SE and gradually merge with trough next 48 hrs, becoming quasi-stationary along a position from 30N66W to the NW Bahamas to the upper Fl Keys. Models develop a sfc low along front late Thu early Fri just to the N of area and move it NE while intensifying, and allowing high pres to build against frontal remnants and freshen NE winds across waters W of 75W into the weekend.

$$


.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone:


.GULF OF MEXICO... None.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$


.Forecaster Stripling. National Hurricane Center.

Home