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AGXX40 KNHC 301734
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
134 PM EDT SAT MAY 30 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WEAK TROUGHING WILL MOVE FROM THE EASTERN GULF TO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH MON AS A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SW TO THE N CENTRAL GULF. THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN TONIGHT THROUGH TUE ALLOWING FOR A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT TO SET UP OVER THE AREA. A TROUGH MAY APPROACH THE EASTERN GULF TUE THROUGH WED FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA ACCOMPANIED BY UNSETTLED WEATHER. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR EASTERN SECTION...AND THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE SEAS ARE 2 FT.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FOR WAVE. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON AS A TROPICAL WAVE EASTERN CARIBBEAN MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION...AND ATLC HIGH PRESSURES BUILDS SW TOWARDS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THE WAVE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO GENERATE UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL PART OF THE OF THE AREA AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE E OF 77W AND 2-3 FT W OF 77W. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC SEA HEIGHTS ARE DUE TO NE SWELLS WITH SEAS NOW IN THE RANGE OF 7-9 FT S OF 17N AND SEAS OF 5-7 FT N OF 17N.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 29N66W TO 24N71W WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS IT APPROACHES THE BAHAMAS SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS SUN THROUGH MON NIGHT AND REACH FROM NW CUBA TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TUE NIGHT AND WED. OTHERWISE STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE NW WATERS WILL WEAKEN THROUGH SUN NIGHT WITH A WEAKER PRESSURE PATTERN SETTING UP OVER MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE...EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SEAS OF 6-8 FT N OF 30N E OF 72W AND SEAS OF 1-2 FT SW OF THE BAHAMAS.

$$


.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:


.GULF OF MEXICO... NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$


.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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