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AGXX40 KNHC 071651
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1251 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL EXCEPT OVER THE NE GULF WHERE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE OVER THE NE GULF...2-3 FT OVER THE SE GULF...AND 3-5 FT OVER THE WESTERN GULF. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE W INTO THE SW GULF EACH NIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF WATERS LATE EACH MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS TROUGH AND THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE N GULF WATERS WILL PRODUCE A FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS TROUGH IN THE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SAT.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 6-7 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL N OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED TO THE CURRENT CONDITIONS.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...3-4 FT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILING OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THU NIGHT.

$$


.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:


.GULF OF MEXICO... NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$


.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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