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AGXX40 KNHC 291658
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1258 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

PRODUCT RELEASED EARLY FOR COMPUTER MAINTENANCE


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE GULF WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE RETURN FLOW PREVAILING OVER THE GULF WATERS...EXCEPT FOR THE NE GULF WHERE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-4 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN WATERS...1-3 FT OVER THE NE WATERS...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE SE WATERS. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING AND LOCAL EVENING TROUGHING OVER THE NW YUCATAN DEVELOPING EACH NIGHT. THE TROUGHING WILL ENHANCE OVERNIGHT WINDS OFF NW YUCATAN AND IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM E CUBA TO E HONDURAS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN CENTRAL WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AS WELL AS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE NW WATERS AND SOUTHERN CENTRAL WATERS...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE IN NE SWELL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NW WATERS THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE THE WINDS DIMINISH. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. WINDS WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS EARLY THIS WEEK WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADES PREVAILING AFTERWARDS. THE NE SWELL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT BY TONIGHT...AND REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. TAFB NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 6N65W TO 25N68W WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY TO EASTERN CUBA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS N OF 28N AND W OF THE FRONT TO NEAR 77W WITH SEAS IN THE 8-9 FT RANGE OVER THIS AREA. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WITH SEAS IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE PREVAIL W OF THE FRONT WHILE SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL E OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS IN THE 5 FT RANGE. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE NORTHER PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT E OF THE AREA BY TONIGHT WHILE THE STATIONARY FRONT SLOWLY DISSIPATES THROUGH TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD AND SETTLE ALONG 28N BY MON. A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS WILL SKIRT THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS WILL LITTLE AFFECT ON WINDS AND SEAS.

$$


.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:


.GULF OF MEXICO... NONE.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE.


.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$


.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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