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000
WTPZ35 KNHC 242031
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015


...PATRICIA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...
...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...



SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...25.3N 100.6W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SW OF MONTERREY MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Patricia, a remnant low pressure area, was located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 100.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue until the low dissipates tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low is expected to weaken to a trough during the next several hours, and the remnants of Patricia should be absorbed by a non-tropical low pressure system over southern Texas later tonight or on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL: While heavy rains near the center of Patricia have decreased significantly as the cyclone has weakened over northeastern Mexico, the heavy rain threat ahead of the remnants of Patricia will increase this evening across northeast Mexico into coastal sections of Texas. This heavy rain threat will continue across the western Gulf coast through this weekend and spread into the central Gulf coast by early next week. These rains may produce dangerous flash floods.



NEXT ADVISORY
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This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on the continuing threat of heavy rains can be found in statements from National Weather Service local forecast offices and the Meteorological Service of Mexico.

$$ Forecaster Beven



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