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000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF TRUDY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202014
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2014


...TRUDY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...



SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.4N 98.2W ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF TRUDY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 20 INCHES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN THE STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA IN SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.



NEXT ADVISORY
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THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$ FORECASTER BLAKE



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