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000
WTPZ34 KNHC 022046
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014
200 PM PDT TUE SEP 02 2014


...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...



SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.5N 106.5W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO SANTA FE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THE STORM SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...NORBERT SHOULD BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER COLIMA AND WESTERN PARTS OF MICHOACAN AND JALISCO IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY.



NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$ FORECASTER BLAKE



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