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000
WTPZ32 KNHC 210836
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2014


...POLO MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH DISCONTINUED...



SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.6N 110.5W ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES



WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE



DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST. POLO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF POLO WILL PASS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. POLO IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.



HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...POLO COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH TODAY.



NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$ FORECASTER STEWART



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