Home


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 232031
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017
2100 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N 117.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.7N 118.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.6N 118.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 119.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.0N 122.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 13.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 14.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 116.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


Home