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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 291439
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132016
1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.2W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.2W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 128.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.1N 131.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.2N 133.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.2N 135.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.2N 138.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.4N 143.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 19.3N 147.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 129.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS



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