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WTPZ21 KNHC 220857
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112014
0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 135.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 135.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 135.9W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 135.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.2N 134.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.0N 133.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.6N 132.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.5N 129.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 22.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 135.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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