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000
WTNT21 KNHC 010237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAO VICENTE,
SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA...AND DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 25.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 25.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 25.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N 26.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 28.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N 29.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.1N 31.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.2N 34.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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