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000
WTPZ41 KNHC 150232
TCDEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212016
800 PM MST MON NOV 14 2016

Tina's circulation has become much less vigorous and diffuse today in the absence of any additional convective bursts. The paltry amount of convection that persists is not considered organized enough to call Tina a tropical cyclone, and the system is thus being declared a remnant low. Although the low is still over very warm waters, a deep layer of very strong southwesterly shear and an increasingly stabilizing and drier atmosphere should preclude regeneration. Dissipation of the low is anticipated in 24 hours or less, in agreement with the global models.

The remnant low is moving 270/06. The shallow vortex should continue westward or west-southwestward under the influence of the low-level subtropical eastern Pacific ridge until dissipation.

This is the last advisory on Tina. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 15/0300Z 18.9N 109.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 15/1200Z 18.9N 110.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$ Forecaster Kimberlain

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