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000
FOPZ14 KNHC 150839
PWSEP4

TROPICAL STORM CELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042016
0900 UTC FRI JUL 15 2016

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

25N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

25N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) X(18) X(18)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10)

LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)

25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)

NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)

BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

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