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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1800 UTC TUE SEP 06 2016

AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

PORTLAND ME 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

CONCORD NH 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

PORTSMOUTH NH 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

WORCESTER MA 34 4 2( 6) 3( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)

BOSTON MA 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

HYANNIS MA 34 4 3( 7) 4(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)

NANTUCKET MA 34 5 4( 9) 4(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 7 4(11) 5(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)

BRIDGEPORT CT 34 17 8(25) 8(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
BRIDGEPORT CT 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NEW HAVEN CT 34 15 6(21) 8(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
NEW HAVEN CT 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

HARTFORD CT 34 9 4(13) 7(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)

NEW LONDON CT 34 12 7(19) 8(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
NEW LONDON CT 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ALBANY NY 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

POUGHKEEPSIE 34 7 3(10) 4(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)

MONTAUK POINT 34 20 6(26) 11(37) 5(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

ISLIP NY 34 32 10(42) 9(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
ISLIP NY 50 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 26 11(37) 8(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34 19 9(28) 8(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NEWARK NJ 34 18 9(27) 7(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
NEWARK NJ 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

TRENTON NJ 34 16 10(26) 4(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)

NWS EARLE NJ 34 30 13(43) 6(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
NWS EARLE NJ 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

ALLENTOWN PA 34 7 3(10) 3(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)

PHILADELPHIA 34 14 9(23) 3(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)

ATLANTIC CITY 34 31 12(43) 4(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

DOVER DE 34 10 6(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)

ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

WASHINGTON DC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN 34 16 8(24) 3(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)

OCEAN CITY MD 34 12 6(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)

PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

WALLOPS CDA 34 6 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

RICHMOND VA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NORFOLK NAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NORFOLK VA 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

OCEANA NAS VA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

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