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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
0300 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NORFOLK NAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NORFOLK VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

RALEIGH NC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

ROCKY MT NC 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

CHERRY PT NC 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)

NEW RIVER NC 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

SURF CITY NC 34 2 11(13) 4(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)

WILMINGTON NC 34 3 10(13) 3(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)

BALD HEAD ISL 34 5 8(13) 2(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)

FLORENCE SC 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

LITTLE RIVER 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

CHARLESTON SC 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

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