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000
FZPN03 KNHC 190930
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 21.


.WARNINGS.


...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.6N 120.2W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 19 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE... 20 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 30 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 16.6N 125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 18.5N 129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE...60 NM SE...50 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 20.5N 131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 23.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 26.5N 133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.


.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19...


.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NE SEMICIRCLE...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 121W AND 125W.


.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 08N114W...RESUMES FROM 13N123W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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