Home


000
FZPN03 KNHC 310302
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 31. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 01. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 02.


.WARNINGS.


...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.8N 136.5W 948 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 31 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...300 NM NW QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 500 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.9N 140.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. REMAINDER OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 27N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.7N 144.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 280 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 18N TO 26N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 20.0N 149.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 21.8N 155.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 23.5N 159.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.


.FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 91W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 109W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.


.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC WED AUG 31...


.HURRICANE LESTER... SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE.


.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 13N99W TO 11N108W TO 12N116W TO 15N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COAST RICA...WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 91W AND 94W...AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WEST MEXICO FROM 19N TO 22N. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 89W...FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W...WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 109W AND 113W.

$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

Home