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000
FZNT02 KNHC 291011
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 29. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 30. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 31.


.WARNINGS.


...ATLC CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 19.1N 75.1W 1008 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 29 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 420 NM N AND 300 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA INLAND NEAR 22.3N 80.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT OVER WATERS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 25.3N 83.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS TO 10 FT WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 150 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 27.0N 84.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 29.5N 84.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA INLAND NEAR 31.0N 84.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.


.CARIBBEAN FROM 11.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 67.5W AND 72W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 12.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.


.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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