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000
FZNT02 KNHC 281509
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 28 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 28. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 29. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 30.


.WARNINGS.


...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 13.4N 60.7W 1008 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 28 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE...90 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 50W AND 62W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW NEAR 13.9N 66.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE...80 NM SE...40 NM SW AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE...150 NM SE... 60 NM SW AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 13.8N 71.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE...80 NM SE...50 NM SW AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 13.5N 74.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 14.8N 75.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MATTHEW NEAR 17.5N 76.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.


.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18.5N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 75W... INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.


.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 22N E OF 41W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 36W AND 43W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.


.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W... INCLUDING WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF COLOMBIA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTERS MCELROY/MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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