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2003-2005 JHT Projects

Project Title Principal Investigator(s) TPC/NHC Point of Contact Goals Cost Years 2004 Mid-year Reports IHC 2004 Pres. First Year Report 2005 Mid-year Reports IHC 2005 Pres. Final Report Status
Upgrades to the operational GFDL hurricane prediction system Bender (GFDL) Pasch Rhome X $90,000/yr 2 Accepted and implemented
Improving the GFDL/URI coupled hurricane-ocean model Ginis (URI) Pasch Rhome X $135,700-yr 1;
$142,900-yr 2
2 Accepted, running in parallel
Hurricane model transitions to operations at NCEP/EMC Pan (NCEP) Pasch Rhome X $165,000/yr 2 Implemented operationally for 2007 season
Evaluation of upper ocean mixing parameterizations Jacob (UMBC)
Shay (UM)
Halliwell (UM)
Lawrence
Mainelli
X $93,000-yr 1; $96,900-yr 2 2 Defer, additional test through 2008 season needed
Real-time dissemination of hurricane wind fields determined from airborne doppler Gamache (HRD) Franklin, McAdie, Blake
EMC: several
X $82,300-yr 1; $100,900-yr 2 2 Accept
Targeting strategies to improve hurricane track forecasts Majumdar (UM)
Aberson (HRD)
Toth (NCEP)
Franklin X $122,500-yr 1;
$127,400-yr 2
2 Implemented operationally for 2007 season
Objective and automated assessment of operational global forecast model predictions of tropical cyclone formation and life cycle Harr (NPS) Pasch
Avila
Blake
X $58,200-yr 1; $62,200-yr 2 2 Accept
An updated baseline for track forecast skill through five days for the Atlantic and Northeastern and Northwestern Pacific basins Aberson (HRD) Franklin
Gross
X $19,000 1 Accept
Quantifying tropical cyclone track forecast uncertainty and improving extended-range tropical cyclone track forecasts using an ensemble of dynamical models Goerss (NRL) Beven
Gross
X $60,000 1 Accept
Transition of revised dynamical model track prediction evaluation expert system (DYMES) Boothe (NPS) Stewart
Roberts
X $80,000 1 Not Submitted Do not accept
Improving the validation and prediction of tropical cyclone rainfall Rogers (HRD)
Pan (NCEP)
Black (HRD)
Marchok (GFDL)
Stewart
Molleda
X $120,000-yr 1;
$127,500-yr 2
2 Accept
Implementation of the Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique (AODT) and Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation (TIE) algorithms at TPC Kossin (UW)
Velden (UW)
Beven
Rhome
Mainelli
Cobb
Brown
X $95,400-yr 1;
$99,700-yr 2
2 Implemented operationally for 2007 season
Improvements in Deterministic and Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Predictions Knaff (CIRA)
DeMaria (CIRA)
Lawrence
Gross
Sisko
X $95,000/yr 2 Accept
Development of a rapid intensification index for the eastern Pacific basin Kaplan (HRD) Avila
Sisko
X $54,200-yr 1;
$64,100-yr 2
2 Accept
Developing an inner-core SST cooling predictor for use in SHIPS Cione (HRD)
Gentemann (RSS)
Kaplan (HRD)
Avila
Berg
Sisko
Blake
X $79,500-yr 1;
$71,300-yr 2
2
X
Accept

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