4. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.  SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE RELATIVELY HIGH IN THIS AREA. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.