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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the
low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Berg




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