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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 13 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred
miles southwest of the Azores.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, mainly to the east of the surface low.  Upper-level
winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph and passes near or north of the Leeward Islands and the
Virgin Islands.  However, environmental conditions could become a
little more conducive for some development early next week when the
system begins to move northward and then recurve over the
west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Avila




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