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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 28 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Maria, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of Cape
Hatteras, North Carolina, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the
central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of Bermuda.

1. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the Cayman
Islands northward across Cuba to the Florida Straits is associated
with a broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. A
weak area of low pressure is likely to form from this weather system
while it moves northward across the Florida Straits to near the east
coast of the Florida peninsula during the next few days, and
environmental conditions appear conducive for development before
upper-level winds become less favorable early next week.  Regardless
of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida
Keys, the Florida peninsula, and the northwestern Bahamas during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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