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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough continues to
produce a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms
from the Lesser Antilles eastward over the Atlantic Ocean for
several hundred miles. Since upper-level winds are expected to be
marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance
is possible while it moves northwestward to west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph during the next few days.  By the weekend, however,
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone
formation. Regardless of development, this system will produce brief
periods of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of
the Lesser Antilles through today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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