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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles west of
the Cape Verde Islands. Shower activity associated with this low
has not become any better organized since yesterday, and no
tropical cyclone formation is anticipated tonight or Wednesday.
However, environmental conditions could become a little more
favorable for development by later in the week while the low moves
toward the west-northwest and northwest at about 15 mph over the
open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Bahamas and the
adjacent Atlantic are associated with a weak trough.  Surface
pressures are not falling in the area, and development, if any, will
be very slow to occur. This system is forecast to move toward the
west at about 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Avila




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