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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 7 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An extensive area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms is
associated with a large tropical wave that has recently emerged
off of the coast of Africa just west of Guinea.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development
of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves
westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

2. Shower activity has diminished in association with a small low
pressure system located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands. This system is moving into an unfavorable environment, and
development appears unlikely during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

3. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the coastal sections of Georgia and the
Carolinas during the next couple of days. After that time, this low
is expected to merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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