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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the coastal sections of Georgia, South
Carolina, and North Carolina during the next couple of days. After
that time, this low is expected to merge with a frontal zone over
the western Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Shower activity has changed little in association with an area of
low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands. This system is moving into an unfavorable environment
during the next several days, and development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

3. A large area of showers and thunderstorms near the west coast of
Africa is associated with a strong tropical wave. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of
this system early next week while it moves toward the west or west-
northwest over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake




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